Section
Geopolitics
Power politics, diplomacy, sanctions, conflicts and international relations.
47 published articles
Featured
Israel–United States: The End of Aid, Not Dependence
By announcing the early termination of annual US military assistance to Israel, Donald Trump is challenging a framework that has shaped bilateral relations for decades. Yet behind the $3.8 billion figure lies a deeper transformation: the possible transition from an alliance susta
AnalysisRecent publications
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GeopoliticsBlack Sea–Iran: The War Over Maritime Routes
Two maritime regions, two military confrontations, and one shared vulnerability: the world's major commercial shipping routes. The intensification of attacks in the Black Sea and renewed military tensions between Washington and Tehran reveal a profound transformation in the balan
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GeopoliticsChina–Oman: Diplomacy Beyond Oil
Beijing and Muscat are deepening their strategic partnership in a region where energy, trade and diplomacy are closely intertwined. Behind the economic agreements lies a broader question: how far can China transform its commercial weight in the Gulf into lasting political influen
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GeopoliticsIran: The Invisible Boundaries of Sanctions
Behind financial restrictions, technology embargoes and trade controls, Iran has developed supply networks whose scale exposes a fundamental contradiction of the global economy: a state can be excluded from certain markets without being fully isolated from the production chains t
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GeopoliticsWestern Sahara: Washington and Moscow Face Off at the Security Council
Hours before a potentially decisive vote on MINURSO's future, the United States and Russia are advancing competing draft resolutions. Washington seeks to reshape the United Nations mission in line with the diplomatic shift toward Morocco's autonomy proposal, while Moscow favors p
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GeopoliticsWestern Sahara: The UN Faces a Historic Decision on Autonomy and the Future of MINURSO
On the eve of an expected Security Council vote, the United States is seeking to reshape the political framework of the Western Sahara dispute. Morocco’s autonomy proposal remains at the center of negotiations, while the future of the United Nations mission, the consultation of affected populations, and the guarantees required for a possible settlement are becoming increasingly contentious.
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GeopoliticsRussia–Mali: The Battle for Control of Mining Intelligence
By signing two agreements with Mali to map a substantial portion of its territory and develop a national mining information management system, Russia's state-owned geological group Rosgeologiya is entering a partnership that extends far beyond conventional mineral exploration. Be
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GeopoliticsNot All Industrial Dependencies Are Equal: Anatomy of the Global Economy’s Critical Chokepoints
Globalization has created remarkably efficient production networks, but some of their most critical stages have become exceptionally difficult to replace. A study published by the Bank for International Settlements on October 26, 2026, explains why industrial concentration does n
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GeopoliticsThe Economy of Interdependence: Who Really Controls the Infrastructure of Power?
Economic power has long been associated with ownership. Land, natural resources, factories, capital, and technology formed the material foundations of wealth and influence. States sought to secure their supplies, companies attempted to control their means of production, and inves
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GeopoliticsBlack Sea: How War Is Turning a Global Trade Artery Into a Militarized Frontier
The Black Sea has become one of the world's most dangerous maritime environments. Behind attacks on vessels, drifting mines and the militarization of port infrastructure lies a deeper transformation: major shipping routes are no longer merely instruments of globalization but incr
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GeopoliticsTurkey–Libya: Ankara Reshapes the Mediterranean Balance
On October 20, 2026, a parliamentary vote in eastern Libya altered the diplomatic balance of the Eastern Mediterranean.
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GeopoliticsUnited States–Russia: The Suspension of Sanctions Reshapes the Balance of Power
By suspending the implementation of new sanctions against Russia just hours before they were due to take effect, Donald Trump has placed American energy priorities at the center of Washington’s policy toward Moscow.
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GeopoliticsEurope: The End of the American Security Guarantee
For nearly eight decades, European security has rested on a fundamental assumption: regardless of political disagreements between Washington and its allies, the United States would remain the ultimate guarantor of the continent’s strategic stability.